President William Ruto and Nairobi Senator Edwin Sifuna have emerged as joint frontrunners in the race for the 2027 presidential election, according to the latest opinion poll by TIFA Research.
The survey shows both leaders commanding 31 per cent support, placing them ahead of other potential presidential contenders as political competition intensifies ahead of the August 2027 General Election.
Ruto’s support has increased steadily, rising from 18 per cent in August 2022 to 16 per cent in September 2025, 19 per cent in November 2025, 24 per cent in May 2026 and 24 per cent in June 2026 before reaching 31 per cent in November 2026.
Sifuna, who was not featured among the leading candidates in the earlier survey periods, has recorded a significant rise in popularity, moving from 10 per cent in May 2026 to 15 per cent in June before reaching 31 per cent in November 2026.
The findings place the ODM Secretary General on equal footing with the incumbent President, signalling a significant shift in the political landscape ahead of the next election.
Kalonzo, Matiang’i record declining support
Former Vice President Kalonzo Musyoka has witnessed a decline in support after reaching a high of 25 per cent in November 2025.
His popularity has since dropped to 19 per cent in May 2026, 13 per cent in June and 9 per cent in November.
Former Interior Cabinet Secretary Fred Matiang’i has also recorded a sustained decline, falling from 32 per cent in August 2022 to 21 per cent in September 2025, 18 per cent in November 2025, 14 per cent in May and June 2026, and just five per cent in November.
Former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua’s support has similarly declined from a peak of nine per cent in May 2026 to seven per cent in June and four per cent in November.
Kiharu MP Ndindi Nyoro has also featured in the latest survey, registering one per cent support.
Undecided voters remain significant
Despite the rise of Ruto and Sifuna, the survey indicates that a considerable section of the electorate has yet to settle on a preferred presidential candidate.
Undecided voters account for 15 per cent, down from 20 per cent in June 2026 and 28 per cent in September 2025.
Those who preferred other candidates declined from 14 per cent in September 2025 to just one per cent in November 2026.
The proportion of respondents who did not provide a response remained relatively low at four per cent.
